Transportation - Intelpoint

Cars lead in road traffic crashes, while luxury bus accidents surge by 466.7% over four years

Cars were involved in the highest number of road accidents, recording 665 cases over the four-year period.
Luxury buses and bicycles recorded the highest quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth in accident involvement.
Tankers, cars, and motorcycles saw the sharpest QoQ declines, with accident rates falling by 47.2%, 30.6%, and 24.7% respectively.

Nearly 30% of road accidents recorded in Nigeria between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024 occurred in FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa

FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa consistently rank as the top three states with the highest number of road accidents.
The FCT recorded its peak accident figures in 2022, particularly in Q2 (842 cases) and Q4 (864 cases).
In Q2 and Q3 of 2024, Ogun State surpassed the FCT in the number of reported accidents.
Across these three states, there has been a notable decline in accident numbers, with an average decrease of approximately 37.6% between Q2 and Q3 2024.

Over the four-year period from Q3 2020 to Q3 2024, road accidents in Nigeria declined by 53%

Road accidents declined by 53% between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024.
Q4 2022 recorded the highest number of accidents, with 4,835 reported cases.
Q3 2024 had the lowest number, with just 1,945 accidents.
Speed violation remains the leading cause of road accidents in Nigeria.
Ogun, FCT, Kaduna, and Nasarawa consistently rank among the top four states with the highest accident occurrences.
Bayelsa, Borno, Imo, Rivers, and Akwa Ibom regularly report the lowest number of accidents each quarter.
Commercial vehicles are the most frequently involved vehicle category in accidents.
Cars account for the highest number of individual vehicle accidents.

Over the four-year period from Q3 2020 to Q3 2024, the FCT recorded the highest number of road accidents, totaling 8,133 incidents

The Federal Capital territory (FCT) recorded the highest number of road accidents between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024, with a total of 8,133 accidents, accounting for 12.42% of total accidents.
FCT, Ogun, Nasarawa, and Kaduna consistently ranked among the top four states with the highest accident occurrences.
Bayelsa, Borno, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, and Imo were among the states with the lowest number of recorded accidents each quarter.

Passengers accounted for 63.5% of railway revenue in 2024

Passenger travel generated the largest share of railway revenue at 63.5%.
Pipeline usage accounted for 13.9%, showing that the sector tapped into multiple transport streams.
Other income sources were minimal at 2%, highlighting limited ancillary revenue sources.
The dominance of passenger fares underscores the importance of commuter travel for railway sustainability.

2024 passenger revenue is on track to be highest in the last two years

Train passenger revenue in 2024 reached ₦4.8 billion naira by Q3, already surpassing 2023’s total revenue of ₦4.43 billion.
The lowest passenger count was recorded in 2020 at 1.02 million, due to pandemic-related restrictions, but revenue still stood at ₦1.75 billion.
The highest revenue in the last six years was in 2021, reaching ₦5.70 billion, with 3.21 million passengers contributing to the surge.
Passenger numbers peaked in 2021 at 3.21 million and have steadily declined since, dropping by over one million passengers in just three years.

Derailments account for the highest rate of train accidents in Nigeria, rising to 44% in 2022

In 2022, derailments accounted for 44% of all train accidents, increasing from 35% in 2021 to 38% in 2020. This shows the need to prioritise railway infrastructure maintenance. Locomotive failures also contributed to train accidents, making up 35% of cases in 2022. Although this is slightly lower than the 36% recorded in 2020, it still represents a significant proportion of rail incidents.

The average casualty rate for individuals involved in road traffic crashes in Nigeria is approximately 50% in 2022

Road traffic crashes in Nigeria remain a significant concern, with an average casualty rate of approximately 50% throughout 2022. This means half of the people involved in crashes either sustained injuries or lost their lives. While the remaining half walked away unharmed, February and November had the highest casualty rates at 53%, though with just a slight increase from other months. A closer look at the data reveals that injuries far outweigh fatalities across all months. This pattern shows the heavy burden on hospitals and emergency services, which often struggle to manage the influx of victims. December, a festive season marked by increased travel, saw a casualty rate of 52%, with deaths accounting for 6.4% and injuries rising to 45.7%. This reaffirms the need for extra caution during peak travel when road congestion and reckless driving are heightened.

Since 2020, there has been a rise in fatal crashes and incidents resulting in serious injuries in Nigeria

Data from the Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC) highlights a worrying rise in traffic crashes in Nigeria between 2020 and 2022. Fatal crashes and crashes resulting in serious injuries have increased consistently, emphasising a growing public safety challenge on the nation’s roads. In 2020, Nigeria recorded 11,935 crashes with 2,961 fatalities and 7,627 serious injuries. By 2022, the numbers climbed further to 13,656 total crashes, with 3,309 fatal incidents (a 12% rise) and 8,953 serious injuries (a 17% increase).

36 out of 100 road traffic accidents in Nigeria are attributed to speeding violations

In 2022, approximately 36% of road accidents in Nigeria were caused by speeding violations, accounting for 6,578 cases. This reveals the need for drivers to prioritise safety over the rush to reach their destinations. Loss of control closely follows as another significant cause, contributing to 19.9% of accidents. While speeding dominates, other seemingly smaller actions like wrongful overtaking (5.6%), dangerous driving (5.7%), and sign/light violations (8.0%) still add up to the dangers.

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