Nigeria: Every sector, except for Transportation & Storage, recorded a year-on-year GDP growth in Q3 2023

In Q3 2023, Nigeria's GDP soared, with almost every sector recording year-on-year growth. Noteworthy growth includes Information and Communication, which increased by 40% compared to Q3 2022. Check out the chart for a quick overview.

Source:

National Bureau of Statistics

Period:

Q3 2023
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Tanzania's industry has more than doubled its GDP contribution over 13 years.
  • With an impressive 20.1% CAGR, the Industry (including construction) has experienced the fastest expansion, more than doubling its contribution to GDP over the period.
  • Services remains the largest contributor to GDP, but its growth at 14.6% CAGR is being outpaced by Industry, signalling an evolving economic structure.
  • Agriculture’s 11.2% CAGR shows steady growth, but its share of GDP is shrinking compared to the industrial and service sectors.
  • The rapid growth in Industry reflects Tanzania’s shift towards manufacturing, construction, and infrastructure development.
  • Unlike decades ago, when agriculture dominated, today’s GDP contributions are more balanced between Services, Industry, and Agriculture, reducing reliance on any single sector.

Nigeria's inflation rate stood at 34.80%, making it the African nation with the third-highest inflation rate in 2024
  • With 57.50% inflation, Zimbabwe’s economy is experiencing an extreme price surge, making it the most inflation-affected country in Africa.
  • At 34.80%, Nigeria is battling one of its worst inflation crises in decades, severely impacting food prices, transportation, and living costs.
  • The fact that seven out of ten countries on this list have inflation rates that double or even quadruple the African average shows the depth of the inflation crisis.
  • While their inflation rates (between 16% and 24%), as seen in Ghana, Ethiopia, Zambia, and the Congo, are lower than the top three, they still exceed the sustainable threshold for economic stability.

Since 2010, the Federal Government of Nigeria has spent N45.57 trillion on servicing its debt.
  • Debt servicing costs have grown significantly over the years, from ₦400 billion in 2010 to an estimated ₦11.8 trillion in 2024 — a nearly 30-fold increase in just 15 years.
  • Between 2010 and 2024, Nigeria has spent ₦45.57 trillion on servicing its debt, demonstrating the enormity of its financial obligations.
  • The year 2024 stands out as the most expensive year yet, with ₦11.8 trillion spent on debt servicing — a jump of over 37% compared to 2023's ₦8.6 trillion.
  • While debt service expenditures grew gradually in the early 2010s, the most rapid increases occurred after 2019, with spending surging from ₦2.4 trillion in 2019 to ₦8.6 trillion in 2023.
  • From 2019 to 2024, debt servicing costs rose by almost 392%, showcasing how Nigeria’s debt burden has amplified in a short period.
  • This steep rise in debt servicing diverts resources from critical areas such as infrastructure, health, and education, hindering overall development.

In 2025, Nigeria’s GDP is projected to be higher than the previous year
  • Nigeria's GDP in 2025 is expected to grow faster than in 2024.
  • Nigeria's GDP growth rate has stayed below 3.5% since 2016, reaching 3.2% in 2024.
  • The federal government's 3.68% projection in 2025 is lower than its 2024 projection of 3.74%

Some organisations project that Nigeria's 2025 inflation rate will be lower than in 2024
  • Some organisations project that Nigeria's 2025 inflation rate will be lower than 2024's 33.2%.
  • Projections for 2025 range from the AfDB's optimistic 20.7% to Meristem's bearish 33.99%, reflecting variations in the expected average annual inflation rate.
  • International organisations have more optimistic projections on Nigeria's average inflation rate in 2025 compared to local organisations.

Niger's real GDP grew by 9.9% in 2024, a significant increase from the slower growth rate of 2.4% the year before.
  • Niger’s 9.9% GDP growth in 2024 was the highest among African nations
  • At 7.0%, Rwanda remained one of Africa’s most consistent high-growth economies.
  • Despite being Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria’s 2.9% GDP growth is modest compared to smaller, more agile economies, signalling potential challenges in leveraging its vast resources.
  • The contrast between Niger’s 9.9% growth and Nigeria’s 2.9% highlights how smaller nations can outperform larger ones.

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