Africa has been the world's biggest World Bank borrower since 2017, owing $152 billion as of 2024

  • Africa has been the world's biggest World Bank borrower since 2017, and the gap is widening.
  • Three crises drove it: an infrastructure gap, the 2014 commodity crash, and COVID-19.
  • The World Bank leaned in deliberately — 66% of all IDA funds went to Africa in 2025 alone.
  • It's not really "Africa's debt" — it's Nigeria's, Kenya's, Ethiopia's, Egypt's, Tanzania's, and Morocco's.
  • Every other region is slowing down, but Africa's curve is still climbing.

Africa's rise to the top of the World Bank borrowing table was not a single event; it was the result of one crisis stacking on top of another.

Before the pandemic, African governments were already borrowing heavily to close an infrastructure gap estimated at up to $108 billion per year in roads, power, and connectivity. Then the commodity price crash of 2014 hit, throwing 10 of the 14 countries that had taken out natural resource-backed loans into serious debt trouble and forcing many to return to multilateral lenders just to cover existing obligations.
COVID-19 made everything worse. With tax revenues collapsing, health budgets stretched, and currencies sliding against the dollar, 21 low-income African countries are now either in debt distress or dangerously close to it.

The World Bank stepped in to fill that vacuum in a big way; since its founding, IDA has disbursed just over $210 billion to Africa, accounting for 73% of its total lifetime disbursements.

By 2024, Africa's outstanding World Bank debt stood at $151.7 billion, more than double East Asia and Pacific's $71.3 billion and clear of every other region by a distance that has only grown since 2017.

But the regional number hides more than it reveals.
Just six countries — Nigeria ($17.8 billion), Kenya ($13.8 billion), Ethiopia ($12.8 billion), Egypt ($12.3 billion), Tanzania ($12.1 billion), and Morocco ($10.2 billion) — account for roughly 52% of Africa's entire World Bank debt stock; this concentration has only deepened over time.

Nigeria alone has gone from $2.27 billion in 2000 to $17.8 billion in 2024, a near-eightfold increase in two decades. In the 2025 fiscal year alone, Africa absorbed 66% of all IDA commitments globally — $22.4 billion in a single year — a concentration that reflects both how acute the financing need has become and how deliberately the World Bank has repositioned itself toward the continent.

Europe and Central Asia sit at $60.64 billion, East Asia and Pacific at $71.3 billion, Latin America and the Caribbean at $80.16 billion, South Asia at $89.60 billion, and the Middle East at just $10.82 billion.

This chart tells you who is borrowing. What it does not tell you is whether that borrowing is building something or simply accumulating.

Source:

World Bank - IDS

Period:

1970-2024
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World Bank Group and Eurobonds alone account for 74% ($38.37b) of Nigeria's $51.9b external debt
  • Nigeria’s external debt stood at $51.90 billion as of March 2026.
  • External debt increased by just 0.09% from December 2025.
  • Multilateral creditors held the largest share at 46.0%.
  • Commercial creditors accounted for 41.3% of external debt.
  • Bilateral creditors accounted for 12.7% of external debt.
  • The World Bank Group accounted for 38.2% of total external debt.
  • Eurobond holders accounted for 35.7% of total external debt.
  • The World Bank Group and Eurobond holders together accounted for 73.9% of Nigeria’s external debt.
  • Bilateral debt fell by $130 million from December 2025 to March 2026.
  • Commercial external debt increased by about $1.1 billion over the same period.

Debt service accounts for 23.14% of Nigeria’s ₦68.32 trillion 2026 appropriation
  • Debt service takes 23.14% of Nigeria’s 2026 budget.
  • Domestic debt service accounts for 64.3% of the debt-service allocation.
  • Domestic debt service is nearly twice the external debt-service allocation.
  • The sinking fund receives just 1.8% of the debt-service allocation.
  • Domestic debt service is more than 35 times the sinking-fund allocation.
  • Debt service totals ₦15.81 trillion in the 2026 budget.

South Africa and Egypt accounted for a third of Africa’s estimated $1.93tn government debt in 2025
  • Government debt across 51 African countries was estimated at $1.93 trillion in 2025.
  • South Africa and Egypt had the largest estimated stocks and jointly accounted for 33.8% of the total.
  • Sudan had the highest debt-to-GDP ratio at 187.6%, followed by Senegal at 130.2%.
  • The estimates use IMF debt ratios and current-dollar GDP, not national authorities’ reported debt stocks.
  • Differences in government coverage, instruments and valuation mean the figures are comparable estimates, not fully harmonised official data.

Nigeria’s external debt service crossed $5bn in 2025 after payments in 2018–2025 dwarfed the previous decade
  • Nigeria’s external debt service entered a heavier phase in 2018.
  • External debt service crossed $5bn in 2025.
  • Nigeria paid about $22.2bn from 2018 to 2025.
  • That was about 6x the $3.7bn paid from 2008 to 2017.
  • The 2006 spike reflects one-off debt settlement payments.

Three African countries are projected to have debt exceeding their GDP in 2026
  • Sudan is projected to have Africa’s highest debt-to-GDP ratio in 2026, at 169.1%.
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  • Senegal and Mozambique join Sudan among countries with debt-to-GDP ratios above 100%.
  • Africa’s average government debt-to-GDP ratio is projected at 60.7% in 2026.
  • Nigeria’s projected debt-to-GDP ratio of 32.3% is far below the African average.

Two-thirds of IDA’s commitments in one year went to Africa, led by Nigeria’s $3.1bn
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  • Africa’s total IDA allocation was $22.4 billion out of $33.8 billion.
  • Nigeria was the largest borrower from the DA globally, with $3.1 billion in loans.
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