China's top 10 African export destinations take about 66% of its exports to the continent in 2025

Key Takeaways

  • Nigeria leads by a clear margin, receiving the highest export value at $24.91bn.
  • Large, diversified economies dominate the top tier, with South Africa and Egypt ranking among the biggest destinations.
  • Resource-linked trade remains significant, with countries like Liberia and Algeria absorbing substantial export value.
  • Trade reach is geographically diverse, spanning West, East, and North Africa, including GhanaTanzaniaKenyaMorocco, and Guinea.

China’s export flows to Africa in 2025 exhibit a pronounced concentration among a relatively small group of countries, with the largest markets accounting for a substantial share of total trade. Nigeria ranks first, followed closely by South Africa and Egypt, reflecting the importance of market size, economic scale, and trade connectivity in shaping export distribution.

Beyond the top tier, export destinations span multiple regions and economic structures, from resource-driven economies to major regional trade hubs. This distribution highlights both concentration at the top and broad geographic reach, showing that while a few countries dominate trade volumes, China’s export network extends widely across the continent.

Source:

China Global South Project

Period:

2025
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Related Insights

Nigeria's exports to South Africa have far exceeded imports since 2002
  • Nigeria has exported more to South Africa than it has imported every year since 2002.
  • Exports peaked at $6.29 billion in 2014, driven almost entirely by mineral fuels.
  • Imports from South Africa have remained below $1 billion annually.
  • Nigeria recorded a $1.27 billion trade surplus with South Africa in 2025.
  • Mineral fuels made up over 95% of Nigeria's exports throughout 1995-2025.

Africa’s merchandise exports to China in 2025
  • Africa exported a record $86.2bn worth of goods to China in 2025.
  • China received about 12.5% of Africa’s total merchandise exports.
  • Annual exports remained below $10bn until 2004, before accelerating sharply.
  • Export values have remained relatively high since 2021 despite earlier downturns.
  • The trade relationship remains heavily commodity-led, with limited manufactured exports.

Africa’s export map changed, but only three economies escaped heavy reliance on one buyer
  • Only 3 of 52 African economies met the export-market diversification test in 2025.
  • Nigeria recorded the largest and most sustained shift, with its top-buyer share falling from 43.1% to 9.9%.
  • Madagascar’s top-market share dropped from 40.0% to 14.9% and has remained below 20% since 2021.
  • Libya narrowly qualified at 19.5%, after remaining above the threshold in 2024.
  • The test measures reduced dependence on one export destination, not greater product diversification.

South Africa accounted for nearly $1 in every $6 Africa earned from merchandise exports in 2025
  • Africa’s merchandise exports reached $689.2 billion in 2025.
  • Exports grew by 9.7%, the fastest rate outside Asia.
  • Africa accounted for just 2.6% of global merchandise exports.
  • South Africa led with $116.4 billion, followed by Nigeria and Egypt.
  • The top 15 economies generated 79.3% of Africa’s exports.

Nigeria's non-oil exports grew faster than oil exports in 2024 and 2025, though oil remained dominant
  • In 2025, non-oil export growth (36%) was 6x higher than oil (6%).
  • In 2024, non-oil exports grew by 189% vs oil’s 108%.
  • Total exports still heavily depend on oil.
  • Export value rose from ₦36 trillion in 2023 to ₦85.1 trillion in 2025.

Nigeria’s export mix stayed oil-heavy in 2025, with crude oil above 75% in all quarters
  • Crude oil dominated Nigeria’s exports in all quarters of 2025
  • Q1 recorded the highest oil dependency at 81.5%.
  • Non-oil exports peaked in Q2 at 24.2%, representing the strongest diversification point in 2025.
  • The oil share dropped to its lowest in Q2 (75.8%), but still remained dominant.

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