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South Africa issued $3.5B in Eurobonds in 2024, accounting for 25.6% of the total $13.65B issued by African countries
  • South Africa issued $3.5 billion, making up over a quarter (25.6%) of all issuances on the continent.
  • South Africa, Côte d’Ivoire, and Nigeria issued $8.3 billion, accounting for 61% of Africa’s total Eurobond issuance in 2024.
  • Despite economic uncertainties, Nigeria remains an active player in international markets, issuing $2.2 billion in Eurobonds.
  • Francophone West Africa has a strong presence as Côte d’Ivoire, Senegal, and Benin collectively issued $4.4 billion, highlighting their growing role in Africa’s debt markets.
  • At $0.75 billion and $0.55 billion, respectively, Benin and Cameroon still secured external financing, but at significantly lower levels than their larger counterparts.

A total of 8 African countries have issued the sum of $15.7B in Eurobonds in thirteen months (Jan '24 - Jan '25)
  • African countries issued a total of $15.7 billion in Eurobonds, demonstrating continued reliance on external debt markets.
  • While the first ten months totaled $6.2 billion, November and December alone added $7.5 billion, marking a sharp increase.
  • The total issuance jumped from $6.2 billion in October to $10 billion in November and then $13.7 billion in December, showing a drastic shift in borrowing.
  • Eight African countries drove this activity, as the borrowing is concentrated among key economies.

Nigeria secured a record $2.8 billion loan from Chinese lenders in 2017
  • Nigeria has received $9.4 billion dollars in Chinese loans across different sectors since 2002
  • The highest loan inflow was in 2017, with $2.8 billion, mainly for transportation and energy
  • Transportation projects received the most funding, with notable amounts in 2017 ($2 billion) and 2019 ($1 billion)
  • Loan inflows dropped significantly after 2017, with no borrowings between 2020 and 2022, and $973 million in 2023

Transportation accounts for 65% of Nigeria’s loans from China
  • Transportation received $6.2 billion dollars, which accounts for 65% of all Chinese loans to Nigeria
  • Energy projects received $1.2 billion, highlighting China’s role in Nigeria’s power infrastructure
  • Industry and trade/services had the least funding at $368.2 million dollars, reflecting lower Chinese loan priorities in these areas
  • China’s loans to Nigeria between 2000 and 2023 have largely focused on infrastructure development, particularly in transportation and energy

Energy has attracted the largest amount of Chinese loans to Africa
  • Energy attracted the largest share of Chinese loans to Africa, totalling $62.7 billion across 207 loans
  • Transportation received $52.7 billion—the second-highest amount—through 336 loans, making it the most frequently financed sector
  • Agriculture ($2.4 billion) and education ($2 billion) received relatively low funding, reflecting China’s focus on infrastructure
  • Smaller sectors like non-energy mining and services/social protection had minimal Chinese loan activity

Afrexim Research projections show that long-term debt will continue to dominate, making up 76.4% of Africa’s total debt by 2028
  • By 2028, 76.4% of Africa’s debt will be long-term, up from 75% in 2023.
  • The share of long-term debt will consistently rise each year.
  • Short-term and IMF debts will shrink to 23.6% by 2028, indicating reduced reliance on short-term borrowing.
  • The trend towards long-term debt reduces the immediate financial strain on governments but requires careful management to avoid excessive interest accumulation.
  • Countries must ensure that extended debt periods are matched with productive investments to justify future repayments.
  • A higher share of long-term debt could expose African economies to potential interest rate hikes in the future.
  • While long-term borrowing offers temporary relief, debt sustainability remains a key issue that policymakers must address.

11 African nations constituted 69% of the continent's total external debt stock as of H1 2024
  • Just 11 countries hold 69% of Africa’s total external debt.
  • South Africa (14%) carries the highest share.
  • Egypt (13%) and Nigeria (8%) are among the top three.
  • Countries from Northern and Southern regions hold over 30% of Africa’s external debt.
  • Many of these nations rely on debt to drive development, but without efficient utilisation, rising debt could become a major drag on future progress.

The number of debtors backed by movable assets owing financial institutions in Nigeria declined significantly from 2017 to 2018.
  • The number of collateral-backed debtors fell by almost 50% from 2017 to 2018
  • The number of debtors began increasing consistently from 2019 to 2021
  • The highest post-2018 debt level was recorded in 2023, reaching 7,390, which is close to pre-2018 figures.
  • The decline in 2018 could indicate cautious borrowing or stricter regulations, while the rise afterward suggests a possible easing of credit access.

Nigeria's external debt has gradually grown to nearly half of the country's total public debt as of H1 2024
  • External debt has nearly doubled as in 2017, it stood at 26.64%, but by 2024, it had risen to 46.96%.
  • Domestic debt has dropped from 73.36% in 2017 to 53.04% in 2024, showing a decline.
  • Nigeria’s increasing reliance on external loans suggests a strategic shift in public debt financing.
  • Unlike other years, domestic debt share slightly increased in 2023, rising to 60.74%, before external debt rebounded in 2024.
  • A rising share of external debt means higher exposure to foreign exchange risks and global market conditions.
  • If the trend continues, Nigeria’s external and domestic debt may soon be equal, reducing the traditional dominance of domestic borrowing.

Ethiopia’s external debt-to-GDP ratio projected to double its domestic debt-to-GDP ratio in 2025
  • External debt is set to surpass domestic debt by 2025, reaching a peak of 28.3% of GDP, which indicates a major shift in Ethiopia’s debt strategy.
  • Ethiopia’s external debt-to-GDP ratio dropped consistently from 26.8% in 2020 to 13.7% in 2024, but a sharp increase is projected for 2025.
  • Domestic debt peaked at 27.1% in 2021 before declining steadily to 18.7% in 2024, with a further decline expected in 2025 (14.5%).
  • The sharp rise in external debt in 2025 suggests a major policy shift, possibly driven by the need for foreign capital or declining domestic financing options.
  • The decline in domestic debt may indicate reduced government borrowing from local sources, which could have implications for local financial markets and inflation.
  • Foreign debt reliance increases exposure to currency risks and external economic conditions, which could affect Ethiopia’s financial stability in the long run.


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