Nigeria's quarterly VAT collections have reached new highs in seven consecutive quarters since Q4 2021

In Q2 2023, Nigeria collected 10% more VAT than in the first quarter, 30% more than in Q2 2022, 53% more than in Q2 2021, and 555% more than 40 quarters ago in Q2 2013. Do you see VAT collections reaching one trillion naira soon?

Source:

National Bureau of Statistics

Period:

2013 - 2023
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Number of road accidents by geopolitical zone in Nigeria (Cumulative, Q3 2020-Q3 2024)
  • The North Central zone accounts for the highest share of road accidents in Nigeria, contributing 34.55% of the national total.
  • Within the North Central zone, Abuja (FCT) recorded the most accidents, with a cumulative total of 8,133 cases.
  • The South West zone ranks second, responsible for 25.78% of all accidents nationwide, with Ogun State leading the zone at 6,418 accidents.
  • The South East zone has the lowest share, contributing just 5.38% of total accidents from Q2 2020 to Q2 2024.
  • Enugu State, the highest contributor within the South East, accounts for only 1.59% of the national total.

The CBN raised rates six times in 2024 but has held steady at 27.5% in 2025
  • Over six MPC meetings from February to November 2024, the MPR rose cumulatively by 875 basis points, ending the year at 27.5%.
  • The pace of increases slowed after March: from 200 bps (Feb–Mar) to just 25 bps (Sept–Nov), reflecting a tapering hike strategy.
  • Since November 2024, the CBN has maintained the rate at 27.5% across four consecutive MPC meetings into July 2025.
  • The 2024 cycle was dominated by aggressive rate hikes aimed at stabilising inflation and exchange rate volatility.
  • The CBN’s interest rate strategy appears more restrained in 2025, indicating a possible pause phase in the monetary policy cycle.

Anambra State has tripled its IGR in the last ten years
  • Anambra’s IGR grew sevenfold in 16 years, reaching ₦42 billion in 2024.
  • A ₦26B to ₦42B jump in just six years (2018–2024) indicates accelerating growth.
  • The most dramatic jumps occurred post-2018, pointing to possibly new fiscal reforms or policies.
  • Between 2014 and 2024, revenue grew by over 300%, from ₦10B to ₦42B.

Administrative services surged by 21%, recording the most significant growth in Nigeria's 2024 rebased economy
  • Administrative & support services showed the highest percentage increase at 21.07%.
  • Agriculture is the largest sector by GDP value, at ₦59.31 trillion.
  • Trade is the second largest sector by GDP value, at ₦37.81 trillion.
  • Real estate is the third largest sector by GDP value, at ₦28.96 trillion.
  • Other services experienced negative growth, decreasing by -1.17%.
  • Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply recorded the lowest positive growth at 0.56%.

Nigeria’s foreign trade
  • Total Trade Volume in Q1 2025 stood at ₦36.02 trillion, with exports totalling ₦20.6 trillion and imports at ₦15.4 trillion, resulting in a surplus of ₦5.17 trillion.
  • Crude oil dominates Nigeria’s export trade, accounting for the largest share of export revenue. -
  • Other petroleum oil products are also a major export item, reflecting the significance of both raw and refined oil-based commodities in Nigeria’s trade portfolio. -
  • On the import side, manufactured goods dominate, showing Nigeria’s continued reliance on foreign machinery, technology, and consumer goods.
  • While Nigeria exports mostly raw and oil-based products, it imports refined, processed, or industrial goods, indicating a structural trade gap and limited local industrial capacity. -
  • Agricultural and raw material goods feature on both sides of trade, but their value is significantly less than petroleum-related trade.

Total FAAC revenue shared in Nigeria consistently grew year-on-year from February to June 2025, with increases ranging from 39% to 49%
  • Nigeria’s FAAC revenue increased 49% YoY in March 2025 (₦1.68T vs ₦1.12T in March 2024).
  • February 2025 saw a 48% increase YoY (₦1.70T vs ₦1.15T in February 2024).
  • April 2025 revenue rose by 41% YoY, moving from ₦1.12T in April 2024 to ₦1.58T.
  • January 2025 showed no YoY change, recording ₦1.42T in both 2024 and 2025.
  • The consistent growth in H1 2025 FAAC revenues signals improved government revenue mobilisation, better oil/non-oil collections, and higher capacity for states to meet obligations.

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