In 2025, Nigeria’s GDP is projected to be higher than the previous year

Key takeaways

  • Nigeria's GDP in 2025 is expected to grow faster than in 2024.
  • Nigeria's GDP growth rate has stayed below 3.5% since 2016, reaching 3.2% in 2024.
  • The federal government's 3.68% projection in 2025 is lower than its 2024 projection of 3.74%

In 2025, Nigeria's GDP is projected to maintain its growth trajectory at a faster rate than in 2024. However, the rate of growth diverges across institutions. Cardinal Stone, Cordros, and Meristem expect a growth rate of nearly 4%, which aligns with the federal government's budget estimate of 3.68%. However, the IMF, AfDB, Vestance, and Zedcrest expect GDP growth below 3.5%.

Source:

Individual organisations

Period:

2025
HTML code to embed chart
Want a bespoke report?
Reach out
Tags
Related Insights

Tanzania's industry has more than doubled its GDP contribution over 13 years.
  • With an impressive 20.1% CAGR, the Industry (including construction) has experienced the fastest expansion, more than doubling its contribution to GDP over the period.
  • Services remains the largest contributor to GDP, but its growth at 14.6% CAGR is being outpaced by Industry, signalling an evolving economic structure.
  • Agriculture’s 11.2% CAGR shows steady growth, but its share of GDP is shrinking compared to the industrial and service sectors.
  • The rapid growth in Industry reflects Tanzania’s shift towards manufacturing, construction, and infrastructure development.
  • Unlike decades ago, when agriculture dominated, today’s GDP contributions are more balanced between Services, Industry, and Agriculture, reducing reliance on any single sector.

Niger's real GDP grew by 9.9% in 2024, a significant increase from the slower growth rate of 2.4% the year before.
  • Niger’s 9.9% GDP growth in 2024 was the highest among African nations
  • At 7.0%, Rwanda remained one of Africa’s most consistent high-growth economies.
  • Despite being Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria’s 2.9% GDP growth is modest compared to smaller, more agile economies, signalling potential challenges in leveraging its vast resources.
  • The contrast between Niger’s 9.9% growth and Nigeria’s 2.9% highlights how smaller nations can outperform larger ones.

In 2024, Guyana recorded an impressive GDP growth of 43.8%, marking the highest global increase.
  • Guyana leads with a 43.8% GDP growth, driven by its oil boom and foreign investment.
  • Interestingly, the rest of the list comprises smaller economies, including Samoa, Palau, and Rwanda, each showing promising growth rates.
  • African countries like Niger and Rwanda take significant spots on the list.
  • Nigeria has a growth rate of 2.9%, putting the country in 104th position worldwide (out of 190 countries)
  • The list reflects diverse regional representation, from Africa (Rwanda, Niger) to Asia-Pacific (Macao, Samoa, and Palau) and Latin America (Guyana).

IMF projections indicate that Africa will surpass other regions in real GDP growth from 2026 to 2029.
  • Africa will consistently achieve the highest GDP growth rate, projected at 4.4% from 2026 to 2029.
  • The Asia & Pacific region remains robust, starting at 4.3% in 2025 but is expected to gradually narrow down to 4.0% by 2029.
  • The global average GDP growth will hover around 3.2% from 2025.
  • Europe exhibits the slowest growth, starting at 1.6% in 2025 and declining to 1.5% by 2029.

Iceland ranks first in the world for gender equality, with a parity score of 0.935, reflecting a strong balance between men and women.
  • With a score of 0.935, Iceland continues to set the benchmark for gender equality.
  • Namibia (0.805) and Nicaragua (0.811) are redefining expectations, proving that gender equality is not just a goal for wealthier nations but a global priority.
  • Germany (0.810), Ireland (0.802), and Lithuania (0.793) highlight Europe’s dominant role in advancing gender parity, setting examples for other regions.
  • Namibia (0.805) and South Africa (0.785) represent two of Africa’s most gender-equal societies.
  • Nigeria has a score of 0.65, making it the 125th country worldwide

Participation in the National Open Apprenticeship Scheme has dropped over 50% since 2021.
Participation in Nigeria’s National Open Apprenticeship Scheme has dropped by over 50% since 2021, with male and female enrolments declining significantly; over the years, there have been more female participants. The declining participation rates raise questions about awareness, funding, and programme efficiency. For many Nigerian youths, apprenticeship programmes are a gateway to self-reliance and stable income. The National Open Apprenticeship Scheme is a National Directorate of Employment (NDE) programme that upskills unskilled and unemployed people and equips them with relevant demand-driven skills.

POPULAR TOPICS
SIGN UP TO OUR NEWSLETTER
Get periodic updates about the African startup space, access to our reports, among others.
Subscribe Here
Subscription Form

A product of Techpoint Africa. All rights reserved