Foreign trade hits 5-year high: ₦64.18 trillion total value in H1 2024 with ₦9.25 trillion surplus

After three consecutive halves of negative trade surplus between H2 2020 and H1 2021, Nigeria achieved a remarkable rebound in H1 2024, with the trade surplus peaking at ₦9.25 trillion and the total trade value soaring to a record ₦64.18 trillion.

Source:

National Bureau of Statistics

Period:

2020-2024
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Air Peace leads Nigeria’s airline fleet with 37 aircraft, more than double any other operator
  • Air Peace operates the largest fleet with 37 aircraft, combining its mainline and subsidiary, Air Peace Hopper.
  • Arik Air and Max Air follow distantly with 14 and 10 aircraft respectively, less than half of Air Peace’s combined fleet.
  • Only 5 airlines operate fleets of 8 or more aircraft, highlighting a significant concentration of operational strength at the top.
  • Over one-third of the listed airlines (7 out of 20) operate with fleets of just 4 aircraft or fewer.
Nigeria maintained its trade surplus streak in Q1 2025, with ₦5.17 trillion
  • Total trade rose from ₦12.7 trillion (Q2 2023) to over ₦36 trillion (Q1 2025).
  • Exports grew from ₦6.4 trillion (Q2 2023) to ₦20.6 trillion (Q1 2025).
  • Sustained trade surpluses started from Q2 2023, peaking at ₦5.2 trillion in Q1 2025.
  • Imports also rose from ₦6.3 trillion (Q2 2023) to ₦15.4 trillion (Q1 2025), but slower than exports.
  • Pre-2023 was deficit-heavy: Most quarters from 2020–2022 recorded trade deficits or very small surpluses.
  • Q1 2021 had the worst deficit: -₦1.89 trillion, driven by high imports and weak exports.
  • Naira devaluation is the turning point: Starting around Q2 2023, it inflated export values in naira terms.
  • Export growth may not reflect volume; gains are likely due to FX effects, not necessarily more goods shipped.
Out of 30 African countries ranked, South Africa topped logistics performance in 2023 with a score of 3.7 out of 5
  • South Africa ranked highest in Africa; it’s easy to move goods in and out.
  • It beat others on customs speed, delivery time, and tracking.
  • Nigeria, Ghana, and DR Congo scored low. Goods faced more delays and hassles.
  • Countries with high scores attract more trade and business.
  • A low score means slower shipments, higher costs, and weaker logistics.
Netherlands, US, and Germany dominated cocoa imports from 1961 to 2023
  • Netherlands imported the most cocoa beans — 25.48 million tonnes (1961–2023)
  • US (21.1M) and Germany (16.8M) followed in total volume
  • These three countries dominated the top 5 nearly every year
  • Malaysia, UK, France, and Belgium also ranked high over time
  • USSR stayed in the top 10 despite dissolving in 1991
  • Global cocoa imports grew from 1M tonnes in 1961 to nearly 4M in 2023
Half of the top 12 global Google shopping searches in 2024 were for phone brands
  • iPhone was the most searched shopping query globally in 2024.
  • Half of the top 12 search queries were phone-related, showing phones dominated online shopping interest.
  • iPhone (100) and Samsung (88) were highly searched, signalling active consumer comparison between phone models.
  • Nike (84) and Adidas (46) maintained strong brand appeal in fashion and retail.
  • Amazon (52) ranked high despite being a platform, not a specific product.
  • Apple (30) appeared lower in rank than specific Apple products, suggesting searchers prioritised items over brand pages.
  • Laptops (21) remained a significant product category globally, despite mobile dominance.
China's exports to Nigeria more than doubled between the 2016 drop and the 2022 peak, growing by 130%
Key Takeaways:    
  • China’s exports to Nigeria increased from less than $100 million in 1992 to $20.2 billion in 2023, an overall growth of 22,074%.
  • The highest export value was recorded in 2022 at $22.3 billion.
  • China's exports to Nigeria dropped sharply in 2016 to $9.7 billion from $15.39 billion in 2014.
  • After a sharp 29% decline between 2015 and 2016, exports entered a period of sustained growth beginning in 2017.
  • The 2020–2022 period saw remarkable growth, with exports rising by 33% despite global pandemic challenges.
  • In 2023, exports declined by 9.5%, yet remained significantly above pre-pandemic levels.
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