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Nigeria’s largest refinery took over a decade and $20 billion to begin operations
  • Dangote first announced the refinery in 2013 with a $9 billion plan, securing $3.3 billion in funding.
  • The estimated cost grew to $15 billion in 2017, as planned refining capacity increased to 650,000 barrels per day.
  • By 2023, the refinery was finally commissioned, after its total cost surged past $20 billion.
  • In December 2023, the first crude supply of 1 million barrels arrived, marking the start of operations.
  • By 2024, the refinery began producing diesel and jet fuel, with 6 million barrels received for processing.

Cooking gas costs more in Nigeria's North East than in any other region
Key Takeaways:
  • The North East had the highest average cooking gas prices of ₦7.4k and ₦18.2k for 5kg and 12.5kg cylinders respectively
  • The average price of 5kg and 12.5kg cooking gas rose by 44.62% and 50.08% from December 2023
  • The North East had the highest average price for 5kg gas, followed by the North Central, South West, North East, South East, and then the South South, which had the lowest average price
  • The North East had the highest average price for 12.5kg gas, followed by the South West, South-South, South East, North East, and then the North Central, which had the lowest average price

As of December 2024, Taraba State (₦20,290.8) recorded the highest average price for 12.5kg cooking gas
Key Takeaways:
  • The average price for 12.5kg cooking gas varies between ₦15,000 and ₦20,300
  • The average price difference of cooking gas among Nigerian states is 28.97%
  • Four out of the six states in the Southwest region are among the top 20 Nigerian states with the highest average cooking gas prices
  • Nine out of Nigeria's 36 states plus Abuja have an average price for 12.5kg cooking gas that exceeds ₦18,000
  • Taraba State stands out as the only state in Nigeria with an average cooking gas price surpassing ₦20,000
  • The national average price of 12.5kg cooking gas in Nigeria is ₦17,274.16

The average price of kerosene rose by almost 71% between May 2023 and December 2024
Key takeaways:
  • The average kerosene price increased by approximately 70.5%, rising from ₦1,206.1 in May 2023 to ₦2,056.4 in December 2024.
  • Prices witnessed a moderate growth rate of 13% from May to December 2023, while the rate of increase escalated sharply in 2024, with a rise of 50.9% from January to December 2024.
  • A notable acceleration in prices began in July 2024, when the price per litre first surpassed ₦1,700.
  • The average price in December 2024 (₦2,056.4) was 51% greater than the average price in December 2023 (₦1,362.3).

The North Central region of Nigeria recorded the highest average price for kerosene per litre in December 2024, standing at ₦2,278.8
Key Takeaways: 
  • The northern regions of Nigeria experienced higher prices than the southern regions, except for the North East.
  • The North Central region had the highest average kerosene cost, while the South East reported the lowest.
  • There is a significant price difference of about ₦483.7 between the region with the highest price (North Central) and the region with the lowest (South East).
  • Households in the North Central region will likely spend a larger portion of their budget on kerosene than those in the South East region.

Akwa Ibom, Delta, Rivers, and Bayelsa produce nearly 85% of the daily output among Nigeria’s top 10 oil producing states
- Akwa Ibom, Delta, Rivers, and Bayelsa collectively account for nearly 85% of Nigeria’s crude oil production.
- Their impressive output reflects decades of focused investment and advanced production infrastructure in the Niger Delta.
- The disparity between these high-producing states and lower-performing regions like Abia and Imo highlights significant regional imbalances.
- The untapped potential in states with lower outputs presents promising opportunities for strategic development and future growth

Abuja recorded the highest average price of kerosene in Nigeria as of December 2024
Key takeaways:
  • In December 2024, the top five states with the highest average kerosene prices were: Abuja (₦2,950.0), Akwa Ibom (₦2,538.3), Kaduna (₦2,510.6), Cross River (₦2,430.7), and Sokoto (₦2,400.1).
  • Abuja recorded the highest average price of kerosene in December 2024, while Borno state recorded the lowest price.
  • The price of kerosene per litre ranged from ₦1,520.4 to ₦2,950 across Nigerian states in December 2024.
  • The percentage difference in the price of kerosene across Nigeria states in December 2024 is approximately 63.9%.

Petrol prices surged by nearly 1000% in 9 years
  • In February 2016, petrol was at its lowest price of 99.80 per litre, marking the last time fuel prices remained below 100.
  • By November 2024, petrol prices soared to an all-time high of 1,214.17 per litre, reflecting the compounded effects of inflation, currency depreciation, and global oil price volatility.
  • Over the nine-year period, the average petrol price stood at 272.65 per litre.
  • Between January 2016 and December 2024, petrol prices increased by 1,079.52, a staggering 984.96% rise, emphasising the long-term upward trajectory influenced by economic challenges, subsidy removals, and fluctuating exchange rates.
  • The most volatile period recorded a month-to-month price surge of over 129.23%.

Average cost of 5kg cooking gas in Nigeria as of December 2024 – Top 20 states
Key Takeaways:
  • The average price for 5kg cooking gas ranges from ₦6,000 to ₦8,100.
  • The price difference of cooking gas between various Nigerian states is 25.09%.
  • Out of Nigeria's 36 states plus Abuja, fifteen have an average price for 5kg cooking gas above the national average.
  • Taraba State is uniquely positioned as the sole state in Nigeria with an average cooking gas price above ₦8,000.
  • The national average cost for 5kg cooking gas in Nigeria is ₦7,177.27.

Crude Oil Prices Drop from $79.12 in Dec 2023 to $74.72 in Dec 2024 Amid Market Volatility
  • Crude oil prices peaked at $93.12 in April, marking the highest point of the year before experiencing fluctuations in the following months.
  • A steady decline in the last quarter saw prices drop to $74.72 in December, the lowest recorded price of 2024.
  • The decline in prices from September onward raised concerns about potential revenue shortfalls, impacting government budgets and foreign exchange earnings.
  • Oil prices remained unstable throughout the year, with significant fluctuations driven by geopolitical factors, global demand shifts, and production adjustments.


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