Nigeria’s public debt has soared since 2010, with domestic debt up 2,020% and external debt up 1,000% by mid 2025

Key Takeaways

  • Nigeria’s domestic debt jumped from ₦3.8 trillion in 2010 to ₦80.55 trillion by mid-2025.
  • Foreign debts increased from $4.27 billion in 2010 to $46.98 billion in 2025, reflecting growing reliance on external financing.
  • Debt accumulation surged notably after 2020, coinciding with pandemic spending, naira depreciation, and higher fiscal deficits.
  • The widening gap between revenue and debt service raises questions about Nigeria’s long-term debt sustainability.

Nigeria’s debt journey over the past 15 years paints a clear picture of persistent fiscal strain. From just ₦3.8 trillion in 2010, domestic borrowing has ballooned to over ₦80 trillion, fueled by budget deficits, falling oil revenues, and rising governance costs. External debt has also expanded steadily, from $4.27 billion to nearly $47 billion as Nigeria sought foreign funding to stabilise its economy. This consistent upward trend underscores a growing dependence on debt to finance national expenditure, making debt management and revenue growth more critical than ever.

Source:

Debt Management Office (DMO)

Period:

June 2010 - June 2025
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10 Nigerian states and the FCT cut their external debt by a combined $227.19 million in H1 2025
  • Ten states and the FCT collectively reduced their external debt by $227.19 million in H1 2025.
  • Lagos, Edo, and Rivers accounted for most of the reductions, making up more than three-quarters of the total.
  • Several smaller states also trimmed their balances, but by relatively modest amounts.
  • These reductions significantly offset the increases recorded by 26 other states, helping keep nationwide net external debt growth low.

26 Nigerian states added a combined $239m to their external debt in H1 2025
  • 26 states increased their external debt by a combined $239 million in H1 2025.
  • Imo, Oyo, Kaduna, Enugu, and Ogun recorded the biggest increases.
  • 11 states, including the FCT, reduced their debt through higher repayments.
  • Lagos, Edo, Rivers, and Bauchi accounted for most of the $227 million in reductions.
  • Total state external debt rose only slightly, from $4.8 billion to $4.812 billion.

Nigeria’s power grid is 69.9% powered by thermal plants
  • Thermal energy dominates Nigeria’s grid, supplying 69.9% of total power.
  • Hydro plants contribute 30.1%, making them the country’s second major source.
  • The heavy reliance on thermal generation shows Nigeria’s grid is still largely fossil-fuel driven.
  • Hydro remains a crucial but secondary source, supporting overall supply stability.

Nigeria's DisCos recorded ₦360bn revenue gap after collecting ₦1.12tn from ₦1.49tn billed in H1 2025
  • DisCos billed approximately ₦1.49 trillion but collected only ₦1.12 trillion in H1 2025.
  • Ikeja and Eko DisCos generated the highest revenues, collecting ₦206.22 billion and ₦210.59 billion, respectively.
  • Revenue collection gaps remain significant, with Jos, Kaduna, and Yola posting the weakest collection performances.
  • The wide gap between billings and actual collections suggests persistent challenges in customer payment compliance, metering, and distribution efficiency.

Nigeria has installed 3.65 million electricity metres since 2019; Ikeja DisCo leads with 823,000, and Aba Power at the bottom with 56,000
  • Approximately 3.65 million metres have been installed nationwide across all frameworks since 2019.
  • Ikeja DisCo leads by a wide margin with 823,000 installations, over twice the volume of most other DisCos.
  • Kaduna, Yola, and Aba Power recorded the lowest metre installations, each below 100,000.
  • The disparities in installation totals reveal uneven progress in achieving nationwide metering coverage.

More than 8 in 10 electricity customers of Ikeja and Eko DisCos are now metered
  • Ikeja (84.6%) and Eko (83.3%) lead Nigeria’s metering performance, keeping unmetered customers below 17%.
  • Eight out of the twelve DisCos have metering rates below 60%, showing a wide sector imbalance.
  • The worst-performing DisCos — Yola, Jos, Kaduna, and Kano — have over 65% unmetered customers.
  • Regional disparities are sharp: Lagos and Abuja outperform northern and south-eastern DisCos by large margins.

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