42% of Nigeria’s applications have been rejected over the past 15 years amidst surging demand for Schengen visas

  • Nigerians submitted 1.1 million Schengen visa applications between 2009 and 2024.
  • The highest rejection rates occurred in 2017 (53%) and 2019 (51%).
  • A total of 491,844 applications were rejected, a cumulative denial rate of 42.1%.
  • Despite post-pandemic recovery, 2024 recorded the highest applications (111k), with a 45% rejection rate.
  • The year 2010 stands out as the period with the least number of Schengen visa applications submitted by the Nigerian consulate.

Over the past 15 years, Nigeria has experienced sharp fluctuations in Schengen visa denials. From a low of just 207 in 2010, rejections skyrocketed to over 50,000 by 2024, a staggering surge that marked the highest point in the period under review. The abrupt rebound post-pandemic highlights the challenges Nigerians face in securing Schengen visas, despite maintaining steady application rates. The numbers reflect more than just bureaucracy; they hint at deeper geopolitical, migratory, and diplomatic undercurrents shaping mobility in and out of Europe.

Between 2009 and 2024, over 1.1 million visa applications were filed in Nigeria. Of these, 491,844 were rejected, representing a 42.1% overall denial rate. This rejection percentage was consistently high, peaking at 52.5% in 2017, and dipping slightly to 51% in 2020.

Even as application numbers surged post-COVID, reaching a historic high of 111k in 2024, the denials did not reduce, with 45.9% of applicants turned away in the most recent year.

While the visa demand continues to grow, the disparity between applications and approvals remains sharp and costly. It’s important to note that application fees are non-refundable, currently around €90 for adults and €45 for children. From this report, Nigerians have lost millions of euros over these 15 years to unsuccessful applications. These rejections carry not just financial implications but also reflect deeper challenges faced by many Nigerians seeking mobility opportunities abroad.

Source:

European Commission

Period:

2024
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Nigeria’s foreign trade
  • Total Trade Volume in Q1 2025 stood at ₦36.02 trillion, with exports totalling ₦20.6 trillion and imports at ₦15.4 trillion, resulting in a surplus of ₦5.17 trillion.
  • Crude oil dominates Nigeria’s export trade, accounting for the largest share of export revenue. -
  • Other petroleum oil products are also a major export item, reflecting the significance of both raw and refined oil-based commodities in Nigeria’s trade portfolio. -
  • On the import side, manufactured goods dominate, showing Nigeria’s continued reliance on foreign machinery, technology, and consumer goods.
  • While Nigeria exports mostly raw and oil-based products, it imports refined, processed, or industrial goods, indicating a structural trade gap and limited local industrial capacity. -
  • Agricultural and raw material goods feature on both sides of trade, but their value is significantly less than petroleum-related trade.

Nigeria's foreign trade
  • India is Nigeria’s largest export destination Nigeria exported ₦2.84 trillion worth of goods to India in Q1 2025, driven largely by crude oil.
  • China dominates imports into Nigeria China supplied ₦4.66 trillion worth of goods, far outpacing all other countries. Likely dominated by electronics, machinery, and manufactured goods.
  • The United States appears on both sides. Nigeria exports ₦1.54 trillion to the US and imports ₦1.42 trillion, showing a relatively balanced trade relationship.
  • European countries are major export Partners Netherlands (₦2.30T), France (₦1.44T), and Spain (₦1.44T) are prominent export destinations, indicating strong demand for Nigerian crude oil and other commodities in Europe.
  • UAE barely makes the import list. The UAE closes out the top import list at ₦0.61 trillion, showing relatively lower trade volume compared to others, but still significant enough to be in the top 5.

Cars lead in road traffic crashes, while luxury bus accidents surge by 466.7% over four years
  • Cars were involved in the highest number of road accidents, recording 665 cases over the four-year period.
  • Luxury buses and bicycles recorded the highest quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth in accident involvement.
  • Tankers, cars, and motorcycles saw the sharpest QoQ declines, with accident rates falling by 47.2%, 30.6%, and 24.7% respectively.

Comoros topped Schengen visa rejection rates in 2024 with 62.90%, despite Algeria leading globally by total denials of 185,101
  • Comoros leads with a striking 62.8% rejection rate, the highest not just among African consulates, but also the global consulate countries

  • Guinea-Bissau, Senegal, and Nigeria follow with rejection shares between 45% and 47%.

  • Despite having one of the highest total visa rejections globally, Algeria does not appear in this chart, as its rejection share is comparatively lower.

  • Countries with smaller applicant pools tend to have higher rejection rates, shedding light on access disparities and approval scrutiny in consulate processes.


In 2024, Algeria had the most Schengen visa rejections of any country. Right behind it were India and Turkey
  • Algeria recorded the highest number of Schengen visa denials in 2024, with 185,101 applications not issued, representing 35.0% of its total requests.
  • Six countries out of the top 15 global consulate countries with the highest visa denials were from Africa -Morocco, Nigeria, Egypt, Senegal, Tunisia, and Algeria.
  • Nigeria, Senegal, and Pakistan showed alarmingly high rejection rates, each with over 45% of visa applications refused.
  • Collectively, over 1.7 million Schengen visa applications were not issued worldwide in 2024.
  • European consulates located in African and Asian countries made up a significant share of the rejections.

Nearly 30% of road accidents recorded in Nigeria between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024 occurred in FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa
  • FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa consistently rank as the top three states with the highest number of road accidents.

  • The FCT recorded its peak accident figures in 2022, particularly in Q2 (842 cases) and Q4 (864 cases).

  • In Q2 and Q3 of 2024, Ogun State surpassed the FCT in the number of reported accidents.

  • Across these three states, there has been a notable decline in accident numbers, with an average decrease of approximately 37.6% between Q2 and Q3 2024.


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