Niger's real GDP grew by 9.9% in 2024, a significant increase from the slower growth rate of 2.4% the year before.

Key takeaways:

  • Niger’s 9.9% GDP growth in 2024 was the highest among African nations
  • At 7.0%, Rwanda remained one of Africa’s most consistent high-growth economies.
  • Despite being Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria’s 2.9% GDP growth is modest compared to smaller, more agile economies, signalling potential challenges in leveraging its vast resources.
  • The contrast between Niger’s 9.9% growth and Nigeria’s 2.9% highlights how smaller nations can outperform larger ones.

Niger led Africa in real GDP growth for 2024, achieving an impressive 9.9% growth. This marked a dramatic turnaround from its modest 2.4% growth in 2023. Following Niger are Rwanda (7.0%) and Benin, Ivory Coast, and Djibouti — all at 6.5%. Meanwhile, Nigeria, despite its size and economic significance, recorded a growth rate of 2.9%, falling short of the rapid expansions seen in smaller economies.

Source:

IMF

Period:

2024
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Nigeria’s GDP per capita dropped $710 below Sub-Saharan Africa’s average in 2024, its widest gap in 25 years
  • Nigeria’s GDP per capita stayed above the Sub-Saharan African average from 2002 to 2023.
  • In 2014, Nigeria peaked at $3,088.7, far ahead of the region’s $1,886.5.
  • The post-2014 oil crash triggered a prolonged economic slide for Nigeria.
  • By 2023, Nigeria ($1,596.6) and Sub-Saharan Africa ($1,580.8) were nearly identical.
  • In 2024, Nigeria fell sharply to $806.9, $710 below the regional average of $1,516.4, its widest gap in over two decades.

Ghana’s GDP per capita has grown nearly tenfold since 2000, despite years of economic volatility
  • Between 2000 and 2008, Ghana’s GDP per capita rose from $253.7 to $1,182.7, more than quadrupling in just nine years.
  • It peaked in 2013 at $2,294.8 but declined sharply after 2014.
  • After a dip in 2022, it rebounded to $2,405.8 in 2024, nearly 10 times higher than the figure in 2000.
  • The declines seen in 2009, 2015, and 2022 mirror global and local crises, including the 2008 financial crash, commodity shocks, and post-COVID disruptions.

Nigeria’s nominal GDP has grown by over 80%, but real GDP has grown by only 6%
  • Real GDP grew from ₦205.1 trillion in 2019 to ₦217.8 trillion in 2024, a modest 6% rise.
  • Nominal GDP jumped from ₦205.1 trillion to ₦372.8 trillion over the same period, an 82% increase.
  • The gap between nominal and real GDP widened sharply after 2021, reaching ₦155 trillion in 2024.
  • Nominal GDP has grown year-on-year, with the steepest jump between 2023 (₦314.0 trillion) and 2024 (₦372.8 trillion).
  • Inflationary pressures have driven nominal gains, masking subdued real economic expansion.

Administrative services surged by 21%, recording the most significant growth in Nigeria's 2024 rebased economy
  • Administrative & support services showed the highest percentage increase at 21.07%.
  • Agriculture is the largest sector by GDP value, at ₦59.31 trillion.
  • Trade is the second largest sector by GDP value, at ₦37.81 trillion.
  • Real estate is the third largest sector by GDP value, at ₦28.96 trillion.
  • Other services experienced negative growth, decreasing by -1.17%.
  • Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply recorded the lowest positive growth at 0.56%.

Sudan faced the most severe economic contraction among African nations in 2024, with a real GDP decline of -13.49%
  • Sudan recorded the steepest GDP decline in Africa in 2024 at -13.49%.
  • Botswana’s economy contracted by -2.99%, the second-worst on the continent.
  • Libya was the only other country in the bottom 10 with negative growth at -0.61%.
  • South Africa, with 0.58% growth, continues to struggle with low economic momentum.
  • Sao Tome & Principe and Equatorial Guinea both recorded growth below 1%.
  • Despite being Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria’s 3.43% growth places it closer to underperforming countries than to the continent’s fastest risers.

While Rwanda saw the highest growth in 2024's real GDP, West African nations showed great performance, as 6 nations made the top 10 list
  • Rwanda recorded the highest GDP growth in Africa in 2024 at 8.89%.
  • Six out of the top ten fastest-growing economies in Africa are from West Africa.
  • Niger and Benin posted impressive growth rates of 8.42% and 7.45% respectively.
  • Nigeria, one of Africa’s biggest economies, had a growth rate of 3.43%, below countries like Senegal and Cabo Verde.

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