VinFast’s EV deliveries leapt by nearly 300%, contrasting with declines from Tesla and Rivian

Key Takeaways

  • Tesla led global EV deliveries in Q1 2025 with 336,681 vehicles, maintaining its top position despite a year-over-year decline.
  • Tesla and Rivian reported significant drops in deliveries —12.92% and 38.46% respectively, while other EV manufacturers saw increases.
  • Tesla's decline has been partially attributed to public backlash against CEO Elon Musk’s controversial political involvement.
  • Rivian's drop was linked to reduced demand, particularly in its core Los Angeles market, which was affected by recent wildfires.
  • VinFast saw a 300% surge in deliveries, growing from 9,689 to 36,330 vehicles, driven largely by strong performance in Vietnam.
  • Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid are U.S.-based EV manufacturers; NIO is Chinese, VinFast is Vietnamese, and Polestar is Swedish.

While electric vehicle (EV) adoption across Africa remains uneven, recent developments suggest growing momentum on the continent. A major signal came on May 27, 2025, when Tesla, the world’s leading pure EV manufacturer formally registered its presence in Casablanca, Morocco, with an initial capital of $2.75 million. This move marks Tesla’s first official entry into the African market, and the company’s ambitions appear to extend beyond vehicle sales, possibly hinting at local infrastructure investments and regional partnerships.

Tesla continues to dominate globally in terms of EV production and sales volume. However, the company saw a notable 13% decline in deliveries over the past year, a dip some analysts link to CEO Elon Musk’s polarizing involvement in political affairs.

At the same time, other EV players are eyeing Africa’s untapped potential. Vietnamese automaker VinFast, for example, entered Ghana in 2024 through a distribution partnership with the Jospong Group of Companies (JGC). The company has since recorded a staggering 300% increase in vehicle deliveries between Q1 2024 and Q1 2025, reflecting its aggressive push into emerging markets.

As Africa begins to catch the attention of EV giants, these early moves may shape the future of sustainable mobility on the continent one where global innovation meets local opportunity.

Source:

Company Financials

Period:

Q1 2024-Q1 2025
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From 317K to 633K: South Africa’s auto industry shows resilient growth over 26 years
  • South Africa has doubled from 317,000 units in 1999 to approximately 600,000 units in 2024.
  •  Major peaks were recorded in 2006 (588K), 2016 (616K), and 2018 (632K), while noticeable declines occurred in 2009 (374K) and 2020 (447K), reflecting global economic shocks.
  • South Africa remains one of the leading vehicle producers in Africa, manufacturing a wide mix of passenger cars, light commercial vehicles (LCVs), trucks, and buses/coaches.
  • The industry plays a critical role in exports, employment, and industrial development, making South Africa an automotive hub on the continent.

China dominated global vehicle production in 2024; South Africa and Morocco emerged as Africa’s strongest performers, producing over 1M combined
  • China built 31.3M vehicles in 2024, more than the U.S. and Japan combined, and over one-third of global output.
  • The U.S. and Japan are still major players, but each produced less than half of China’s volume.
  • India, rising with 6.0M vehicles, is cementing its place as a global automotive powerhouse.
  • Europe’s strength: Germany leads with 4.1M units, supported by Spain, France, and the Czech Republic.
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Africa’s contribution:
  • South Africa (21st, 0.59M units) is the continent’s top producer.
  • Morocco (23rd, 0.56M units) follows closely. Combined, they reflect Africa’s small but developing presence in the global auto industry.

Nigeria’s manufacturing output ($25.4b) in 2024 crashed to 15-year low
  • Manufacturing hit a record $64.90b in 2022, after steady growth from 2016.
  • Output fell 55% to $25.36b in 2024, the worst one-year drop since 1999.
  • Military-era lows: Slumped from $33.33b (1981) to $8.08b (1989).
  • Democratic rebounds: Output grew from $9.62b (1999) to $55.33b (2014), and from $35.12b (2016) to $64.90b (2022).

Tesla experienced steady growth in automotive revenue over the past decade, but this trend reversed in 2024 with a 6.49% decline
  • Tesla recorded its highest automotive revenue in 2023, reaching an impressive $82.4 billion.
  • In 2024, Tesla’s automotive revenue declined for the first time, with a 6.49% drop compared to the previous year.
  • Despite the decline in automotive revenue, Tesla’s total revenue grew by 0.95%, indicating resilience in other business segments

Over the past 10 years, Tesla has seen a continuous increase in EV deliveries, until a slight 1.11% decline in 2024
  • In 2024, Tesla delivered a total of 1,789,226 vehicles, marking its first year-over-year delivery decline (1.11%) since 2015.
  • Tesla’s highest annual deliveries occurred in 2023, with 1,808,581 vehicles delivered.
  • Of the total vehicles delivered in 2024, 1,704,093 were Model 3 and Model Y, while 85,133 were other models, including the Cybertruck.
  • The Cybertruck officially launched in late 2023, with production ramping up through 2024.
  • Both Model Y and Model 3 received notable upgrades in 2024, enhancing performance and interior features.

Tesla sees a 9.23% decline in revenue while VinFast surges 149.81% between Q1 2024 and Q1 2025
  • Tesla remains the EV manufacturer with the highest revenue, generating approximately $19 billion in Q1 2025.
  • Among companies that exclusively produce EVs, Tesla was the only one to report a year-over-year revenue decline between Q1 2024 and Q1 2025.
  • Tesla's decline has been partially attributed to public backlash against CEO Elon Musk’s controversial political involvement.
  • VinFast not only achieved a 300% increase in vehicle deliveries but also recorded the highest revenue growth, up 149.81% year-over-year.
  • VinFast’s strong performance was largely driven by robust sales in Vietnam, its largest market.
  • Despite a 38.46% drop in EV deliveries, Rivian posted a 2.99% year-over-year revenue increase between Q1 2024 and Q1 2025.
  • Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid are U.S.-based EV manufacturers; NIO is Chinese, VinFast is Vietnamese, and Polestar is Swedish.

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