Nigeria’s largest refinery took over a decade and $20 billion to begin operations

Key takeaways

  • Dangote first announced the refinery in 2013 with a $9 billion plan, securing $3.3 billion in funding.
  • The estimated cost grew to $15 billion in 2017, as planned refining capacity increased to 650,000 barrels per day.
  • By 2023, the refinery was finally commissioned, after its total cost surged past $20 billion.
  • In December 2023, the first crude supply of 1 million barrels arrived, marking the start of operations.
  • By 2024, the refinery began producing diesel and jet fuel, with 6 million barrels received for processing.

The Dangote Refinery’s development has been a decade-long process, starting in 2013 with a $9 billion plan and evolving into a $20 billion+ project. Delays pushed completion far beyond the initial 2018 target, with the first crude supply arriving only in December 2023. The refinery began producing diesel and jet fuel in 2024, processing 6 million barrels, and is now expanding its trade network, importing 3 million barrels from the US while exporting jet fuel to Saudi Arabia and the US.

Source:

Dangote group, Media reports

Period:

2013-2025
HTML code to embed chart
Want a bespoke report?
Reach out
Tags
Related Insights

Following subsidy removal, Nigeria’s average daily fuel consumption collapsed from 66.7m litres to 47.5m litres
  • Nigeria’s daily fuel consumption peaked at 66.7 million litres in 2022.
  • Fuel consumption fell to 47.5 million litres in 2023 after the subsidy removal.
  • Consumption rebounded slightly to 51.8 million litres in 2024, but remains far below 2022 levels.
  • Between 2015 and 2022, consumption grew from 48.7m to 66.7m litres daily.
  • 2021 saw a notable increase to 61.9m litres, likely due to economic recovery post-COVID.
  • The lowest recorded consumption in the 10-year period was 47.5m litres in 2023.
  • The post-subsidy dip marks the largest single-year decline in consumption within the observed period.

Dangote Refinery led with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, representing almost 67% of Nigeria’s total functional refining capacity in early 2025
Key takeaways:
  • As of January to June 2025, Nigeria had nine operational refineries.
  • Dangote Petroleum Refinery is the largest, with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day (bpd).
  • The total combined capacity of all functional refineries is almost 975,000 bpd.
  • Government-owned refineries, Warri, Kaduna, and Port Harcourt (old), collectively have a capacity of 295,000 bpd.
  • Out of 27 licensed refineries by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), only nine were operational during this period.
  • Other operational refineries such as Aradel, OPAC, Edo, Waltersmith, and Duport Midstream collectively have a capacity of 29,500 bpd.

Africa's crude oil producers: Only 4 countries ever made it past 1 million barrels a day since 1965
  • Only 4 African countries ever crossed 1 million b/d:   Libya, Nigeria, Algeria, and Angola.
  • Libya was Africa’s top producer in the 1970s and 2000s. At its peak, Libya did over 3 million b/d. No other African country has touched that.
  • Nigeria peaked in 2005 with 2.5 million b/d. But since then, it’s been unstable due to theft and pipeline issues.
  • Angola and Algeria have stayed around or above 1 million b/d for long periods, especially post-2000.
  • Despite oil discoveries, most African countries never got close to 1 million b/d: countries like Chad, Sudan, and Gabon, while some peaked under 500k.

After the drop in 2020 due to COVID-19, Oando Plc's profit before tax has surpassed pre-COVID-19 levels
Key Takeaways:
  • Despite recent gains, Oando Plc's earnings before tax have declined by 222% over the past decade.
  • Major losses occurred in 2019 and 2020, with a rebound in 2021 and 2023.
  • The company demonstrated remarkable resilience by recovering to ₦103 billion profit in 2023.
  • The earnings before tax in 2024 fell by 54% from 2023.
  • The year-on-year growth rate from 2015 to 2024 was shown to be negative despite recording ₦47.8 billion in 2024, as against -₦39.1 billion in 2015.

In 50+ years of oil production, the top spot has rotated among only 4 countries
  • Only 4 countries have ever topped global oil production since 1973: the US, USSR, Saudi Arabia, and Russia.
  • The USSR and Saudi Arabia each led for 17 years, while Russia held 9 and the U.S. reclaimed the top with 8 years, mostly after the shale boom.
  • Top producers have peaked at 9–12 million barrels/day, but the US once dropped as low as 5 million in the 2000s.
  • Nigeria peaked at 2.5 million barrels/day in 2005 and 2011, but never reached the top five.
  • Global crude oil production grew by over 26 million barrels per day between 1973 and 2023—an increase of nearly 47% over 50 years.

Oando Plc achieved a revenue increase of 412% between 2021 and 2024, while profits declined by 181% from 2022 to 2024, despite a positive profit after tax in 2024
Key takeaways:
  • Despite a profit after tax record of ₦65.5 billion in 2024, Oando Plc recorded a negative growth rate from 2015.
  • The company faced significant profit losses for several years, with notable improvements in 2021 and 2024.
  • Profit after tax fluctuated, with a notable improvement in 2024, reaching ₦65.49 million.
  • The year-on-year growth rate of 148% in 2022 indicates great market positioning.
  • From ₦477.1 billion in 2020 to ₦4.1 trillion in 2024, Oando Plc's revenues increased by 764%.

POPULAR TOPICS
SIGN UP TO OUR NEWSLETTER
Get periodic updates about the African startup space, access to our reports, among others.
Subscribe Here
Subscription Form

A product of Techpoint Africa. All rights reserved