Nigeria’s foreign trade

Crude oil led Nigeria’s export trade, while manufactured goods dominated imports trade in Q1 2025

  • Total Trade Volume in Q1 2025 stood at ₦36.02 trillion, with exports totalling ₦20.6 trillion and imports at ₦15.4 trillion, resulting in a surplus of ₦5.17 trillion.
  • Crude oil dominates Nigeria’s export trade, accounting for the largest share of export revenue. -
  • Other petroleum oil products are also a major export item, reflecting the significance of both raw and refined oil-based commodities in Nigeria’s trade portfolio. -
  • On the import side, manufactured goods dominate, showing Nigeria’s continued reliance on foreign machinery, technology, and consumer goods.
  • While Nigeria exports mostly raw and oil-based products, it imports refined, processed, or industrial goods, indicating a structural trade gap and limited local industrial capacity. -
  • Agricultural and raw material goods feature on both sides of trade, but their value is significantly less than petroleum-related trade.

Nigeria’s foreign trade reached a total of ₦36.02 trillion in Q1 2025, with exports surpassing imports and delivering a trade surplus of ₦5.17 trillion. The economy remains heavily oil-dependent, as crude oil alone accounted for the lion’s share of export earnings. Alongside crude oil, other petroleum oil products, such as lubricants, kerosene, and diesel, contributed significantly to the export value, reinforcing Nigeria's role in global energy supply chains.

Interestingly, these petroleum derivatives also featured prominently in the country’s import profile, possibly pointing to inadequate domestic refining capabilities. The import side was heavily skewed toward manufactured goods, a recurring pattern that highlights Nigeria’s limited local production capacity and high dependence on foreign industrial goods.

This mismatch, exporting raw materials and importing refined products, signals a longstanding economic imbalance. Until the country boosts its industrial and refining capabilities, this structure is likely to persist.

Source:

NBS

Period:

Q1 2025
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  • Nigeria’s domestic debt jumped from ₦3.8 trillion in 2010 to ₦80.55 trillion by mid-2025.
  • Foreign debts increased from $4.27 billion in 2010 to $46.98 billion in 2025, reflecting growing reliance on external financing.
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Nigeria's energy goods imports have stayed low and stable for 7 years, while exports increased from ₦37B to ₦263B
  • Nigeria’s energy goods exports rose from ₦37.3B in 2017 to ₦262.9B in 2024, before falling to ₦154.2B in H1 2025.
  • Imports remained consistently low, ranging from ₦24.2M to ₦353.1M throughout the period.
  • Export growth outpaced imports, showing a widening trade surplus in energy goods.
  • The 2024 spike in exports represents the highest export value within the nine-year window.
  • Energy imports stayed below ₦400M yearly, indicating low dependency on foreign energy goods.

For most of the period (2013-H1 2025), China's share of Nigeria's imports from Asia hovers around 50%-55%, showing dominance
  • China has dominated Nigeria’s imports from Asia, maintaining a 50–55% share for most of the period.
  • China’s share reached its highest level at 58.6% in H1 2025.
  • India's import share remained volatile, ranging between 11% and 25%.
  • Total imports from Asia surged from ₦2.6 trillion in 2013 to ₦16.4 trillion in H1 2025.

Nigeria's agricultural imports' share has been dropping, from 83.9% (2017) to a low of 42.9% (H1 2025)
  • Agricultural imports fell from 83.9% in 2017 to 42.9% in H1 2025, indicating a significant decline in import dependency.
  • Agricultural exports grew from 16.1% in 2017 to 54.0% in 2024, surpassing imports for the first time since 2017.
  • Total agricultural trade increased from ₦1.1 trillion in 2017 to ₦8.2 trillion in 2024.
  • Between 2022 and 2024, the import share dropped significantly from 75.7% to 46.0%.

Crude oil imports in Nigeria emerged in H1 2025 (the first since 2017), capturing a 10.2% share of the total crude oil trade
  • Crude oil imports into Nigeria in H1 2025 marked the first occurrence since 2017.
  • Crude oil imports accounted for 10.2% of total crude oil trade.
  • From 2017 to 2024, exports made up 100% of crude oil trade annually.
  • Total crude oil trade peaked at ₦55.3 trillion in 2024.
  • The emergence of crude oil imports can be linked to domestic refinery operations, especially the Dangote Refinery.

Asia and Europe (combined) have consistently represented over 70% of Nigeria's total imports since 2013
  • Asia and Europe have consistently represented over 70% of Nigeria’s imports since 2013.
  • Asia’s share of imports reached a record 53.5% in H1 2025.
  • Europe contributed 23.1% of total imports in H1 2025.
  • Imports from the American region averaged between 10%–14% over the period.
  • Africa’s import share remained below 10%, showing limited regional trade.

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