Eastern Africa balanced high growth (5.39%) with soaring inflation (17.76%) and moderate unemployment (4.74%)

Key takeaways:

  • Eastern Africa is the continent's fastest-growing region in 2024 with a GDP growth rate of 5.39%, but it also faces the highest inflation at 17.76%.
  • Southern Africa has the lowest inflation (3.48%) but also the highest unemployment by far, at 28.64%.
  • Western Africa combines growth (3.57%) with low unemployment (4.53%), positioning it as a relatively stable economic zone.
  • Central Africa and Northern Africa both lag in GDP growth, at 1.40% and 2.90% respectively, with Central Africa also experiencing moderate inflation and interest rates.
  • Interest rates are highest in Western (10.84%) and Eastern Africa (10.12%), reflecting tighter monetary policies likely aimed at controlling inflation.
  • Northern Africa’s 11.15% unemployment rate suggests underlying labour market issues despite moderate inflation and interest rates.
  • Southern Africa's low interest rate (6.29%) hasn't translated into job creation, indicating that monetary easing alone isn't resolving unemployment challenges.

Eastern Africa showed a dynamic economic profile in 2024, showcasing the highest real GDP growth rate at 5.39%, but also grappling with the continent’s highest inflation at 17.76%. This reflected a region growing quickly but also facing the challenges of overheating economies, price instability, and rising cost of living. While unemployment in Eastern Africa remained relatively moderate at 4.74%, the inflationary pressure could pose a long-term risk if not managed.
In contrast, Southern Africa experienced the continent’s slowest growth at 1.10%, yet it also enjoyed the lowest inflation at 3.48%. However, the region struggled with a crippling unemployment rate of 28.64%, which dwarfed all other regions and highlighted a deep structural challenge. Western Africa offered a more balanced picture, with decent growth at 3.57%, moderate inflation (8.22%), and one of the lowest unemployment rates at 4.53%.

Source:

IMF and World Bank

Period:

2024
HTML code to embed chart
Want a bespoke report?
Reach out
Tags
Related Insights

Morocco hit its $3.5B FDI peak twice, in 2014 and 2018
  • Morocco recorded a total of $54.58 billion in FDI over the past 34 years.
  • Morocco's FDI inflows peaked twice, in 2014 and 2018, both $3.5 billion.
  • The lowest FDI inflow Morocco recorded was in 1990, amounting to $0.17 billion.
  • From 2006 onward, Morocco's FDI inflows remained mostly above $1 billion, with fluctuations.
  • The most recent year, 2024, showed a modest recovery after a significant dip in 2023.

South Africa witnessed a record FDI inflow spike in 2021 with $40.22b, followed by a sharp decline in 2022
  • In 2021, there was a record-breaking spike to $40.22 billion, far exceeding all previous years.
  • This surge was temporary, as FDI dropped to $9.28B in 2022 and fell further to $2.47B in 2024.
  • Other notable peaks occurred in 2008 ($9.21B) and 2013 ($8.30B).
  • The data reflects volatile investor behaviour, influenced by constant global investors.
  • South Africa’s 2021 FDI spike came from a share swap between Naspers and its Dutch unit, Prosus.

VinFast’s EV deliveries leapt by nearly 300%, contrasting with declines from Tesla and Rivian
  • Tesla led global EV deliveries in Q1 2025 with 336,681 vehicles, maintaining its top position despite a year-over-year decline.
  • Tesla and Rivian reported significant drops in deliveries —12.92% and 38.46% respectively, while other EV manufacturers saw increases.
  • Tesla's decline has been partially attributed to public backlash against CEO Elon Musk’s controversial political involvement.
  • Rivian's drop was linked to reduced demand, particularly in its core Los Angeles market, which was affected by recent wildfires.
  • VinFast saw a 300% surge in deliveries, growing from 9,689 to 36,330 vehicles, driven largely by strong performance in Vietnam.
  • Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid are U.S.-based EV manufacturers; NIO is Chinese, VinFast is Vietnamese, and Polestar is Swedish.

Tesla experienced steady growth in automotive revenue over the past decade, but this trend reversed in 2024 with a 6.49% decline
  • Tesla recorded its highest automotive revenue in 2023, reaching an impressive $82.4 billion.
  • In 2024, Tesla’s automotive revenue declined for the first time, with a 6.49% drop compared to the previous year.
  • Despite the decline in automotive revenue, Tesla’s total revenue grew by 0.95%, indicating resilience in other business segments

Nearly 30% of road accidents recorded in Nigeria between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024 occurred in FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa
  • FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa consistently rank as the top three states with the highest number of road accidents.

  • The FCT recorded its peak accident figures in 2022, particularly in Q2 (842 cases) and Q4 (864 cases).

  • In Q2 and Q3 of 2024, Ogun State surpassed the FCT in the number of reported accidents.

  • Across these three states, there has been a notable decline in accident numbers, with an average decrease of approximately 37.6% between Q2 and Q3 2024.


Over the past 10 years, Tesla has seen a continuous increase in EV deliveries, until a slight 1.11% decline in 2024
  • In 2024, Tesla delivered a total of 1,789,226 vehicles, marking its first year-over-year delivery decline (1.11%) since 2015.
  • Tesla’s highest annual deliveries occurred in 2023, with 1,808,581 vehicles delivered.
  • Of the total vehicles delivered in 2024, 1,704,093 were Model 3 and Model Y, while 85,133 were other models, including the Cybertruck.
  • The Cybertruck officially launched in late 2023, with production ramping up through 2024.
  • Both Model Y and Model 3 received notable upgrades in 2024, enhancing performance and interior features.

POPULAR TOPICS
SIGN UP TO OUR NEWSLETTER
Get periodic updates about the African startup space, access to our reports, among others.
Subscribe Here
Subscription Form

A product of Techpoint Africa. All rights reserved