Three African countries have a debt-to-GDP ratio above 100%, with Sudan at 238.8%

  • Sudan’s debt-to-GDP ratio of 238.8% is the highest in Africa and over twice the size of its economy.
  • Three African countries—Sudan, Cabo Verde, and Zambia—have debt burdens exceeding 100% of their GDP.
  • Egypt, Mozambique, and the Congo Republic follow closely with ratios above 88% each, despite efforts at economic reform.
  • Ghana and Sierra Leone are also in the top 10, showing that West Africa isn’t exempt from debt pressure.
  • Nigeria, while not in the top 10, has a debt-to-GDP ratio of 41.3% and ranks 43rd in Africa.
  • A high debt-to-GDP ratio often limits a country’s ability to invest in growth-driving sectors, even if the economy is growing nominally.

Africa's debt landscape remains a source of concern, with some countries now owing more than their economies produce in a year. As of 2024, Sudan leads the continent with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 238.8%, followed by Cabo Verde at 109.7% and Zambia at 100.8%. These figures suggest that while borrowing can be a tool for development, it can also signal deep fiscal imbalance, especially when not matched with productive investments or economic growth.

A closer look reveals that all of the top 10 most indebted African countries have debt levels exceeding 75% of their GDP. This high debt burden places pressure on public finances, leaving less room for spending on crucial sectors like health, education, and infrastructure. Even countries like Egypt and Mozambique, which have made strides in sectors like tourism and natural resource exports, still find themselves weighed down by heavy debts.

Interestingly, while some economies are struggling under high debt levels, others like Nigeria appear relatively stable in comparison, with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 41.3%. But this doesn’t tell the whole story, as it’s possible to have low debt ratios yet still struggle with revenue generation, debt servicing, or currency instability.

Source:

Afreximbank

Period:

2024
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DR Congo has the lowest debt-to-GDP ratio in Africa (11.1%), significantly below the 63.2% average
  • DR Congo has the lowest debt-to-GDP ratio in Africa, at just 11.1%.
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  • Nigeria, despite its size and challenges, still maintains a relatively moderate debt load of 41.3%.
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  • Ethiopia and Guinea, both undergoing major economic transitions, still keep debt levels below 32%.
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Nigeria’s GDP per capita dropped $710 below Sub-Saharan Africa’s average in 2024, its widest gap in 25 years
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  • In 2014, Nigeria peaked at $3,088.7, far ahead of the region’s $1,886.5.
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Ghana’s GDP per capita has grown nearly tenfold since 2000, despite years of economic volatility
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  • After a dip in 2022, it rebounded to $2,405.8 in 2024, nearly 10 times higher than the figure in 2000.
  • The declines seen in 2009, 2015, and 2022 mirror global and local crises, including the 2008 financial crash, commodity shocks, and post-COVID disruptions.

Lagos State's year-end outstanding foreign debt peaked in 2017, before gradually easing to $1.17 billion as of 2024
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  • The highest year-end debt was recorded in 2017 at $1.47 billion, with a gradual decline afterwards, except for a brief rise again in 2022–2023.
  • By 2024, Lagos State's external debt dipped slightly to $1.17 billion, suggesting some debt service or currency gain effects.
  • If Lagos State paid off or borrowed funds in a given year, only the remaining unpaid amount by year-end is shown in the data.

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