2024 passenger revenue is on track to be highest in the last two years

Key takeaways

  • Train passenger revenue in 2024 reached ₦4.8 billion naira by Q3, already surpassing 2023’s total revenue of ₦4.43 billion.
  • The lowest passenger count was recorded in 2020 at 1.02 million, due to pandemic-related restrictions, but revenue still stood at ₦1.75 billion.
  • The highest revenue in the last six years was in 2021, reaching ₦5.70 billion, with 3.21 million passengers contributing to the surge.
  • Passenger numbers peaked in 2021 at 3.21 million and have steadily declined since, dropping by over one million passengers in just three years.

Nigeria’s railway revenue is on track for a strong recovery, with ₦4.8 billion naira already generated in the first three quarters of 2024, surpassing 2023’s total earnings. However, passenger numbers have steadily declined from a peak of 3.21 million in 2021 to 2.11 million in 2024, suggesting that higher ticket prices or operational changes are driving revenue growth despite lower ridership. The lowest passenger count was recorded in 2020 at 1.02 million, mainly due to COVID-19 disruptions, but revenue still reached ₦1.75 billion.
The railway system’s best financial year was in 2021, when it recorded ₦5.70 billion in revenue from passenger operations, fueled by high ridership. Since then, fewer passengers have used the trains, but earnings have remained relatively stable, pointing to evolving pricing strategies or improved efficiency. Addressing passenger decline while sustaining revenue growth will be key to the long-term viability of Nigeria’s railway sector.

Source:

National Bureau of Statistics

Period:

2019-2024
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Number of road accidents by geopolitical zone in Nigeria (Cumulative, Q3 2020-Q3 2024)
  • The North Central zone accounts for the highest share of road accidents in Nigeria, contributing 34.55% of the national total.
  • Within the North Central zone, Abuja (FCT) recorded the most accidents, with a cumulative total of 8,133 cases.
  • The South West zone ranks second, responsible for 25.78% of all accidents nationwide, with Ogun State leading the zone at 6,418 accidents.
  • The South East zone has the lowest share, contributing just 5.38% of total accidents from Q2 2020 to Q2 2024.
  • Enugu State, the highest contributor within the South East, accounts for only 1.59% of the national total.

South Africa runs Africa’s longest rail network at 20,986km, while Nigeria trails 9th with 3,798km
  • South Africa leads the continent with a vast 20,986km rail network, nearly triple the size of Sudan’s, the second-largest.
  • Nigeria’s rail infrastructure measures 3,798km, ranking it behind Kenya (3,819km) and DR Congo (4,007km).
  • North African countries like Egypt and Algeria maintain significant rail mileage, exceeding 4,000km each.
  • Southern Africa dominates the top five, with Mozambique and Zimbabwe also featuring prominently.

Cars lead in road traffic crashes, while luxury bus accidents surge by 466.7% over four years
  • Cars were involved in the highest number of road accidents, recording 665 cases over the four-year period.
  • Luxury buses and bicycles recorded the highest quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth in accident involvement.
  • Tankers, cars, and motorcycles saw the sharpest QoQ declines, with accident rates falling by 47.2%, 30.6%, and 24.7% respectively.

Nearly 30% of road accidents recorded in Nigeria between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024 occurred in FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa
  • FCT, Ogun, and Nasarawa consistently rank as the top three states with the highest number of road accidents.

  • The FCT recorded its peak accident figures in 2022, particularly in Q2 (842 cases) and Q4 (864 cases).

  • In Q2 and Q3 of 2024, Ogun State surpassed the FCT in the number of reported accidents.

  • Across these three states, there has been a notable decline in accident numbers, with an average decrease of approximately 37.6% between Q2 and Q3 2024.


Over the four-year period from Q3 2020 to Q3 2024, road accidents in Nigeria declined by 53%
  • Road accidents declined by 53% between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024.
  • Q4 2022 recorded the highest number of accidents, with 4,835 reported cases.
  • Q3 2024 had the lowest number, with just 1,945 accidents.
  • Speed violation remains the leading cause of road accidents in Nigeria.
  • Ogun, FCT, Kaduna, and Nasarawa consistently rank among the top four states with the highest accident occurrences.
  • Bayelsa, Borno, Imo, Rivers, and Akwa Ibom regularly report the lowest number of accidents each quarter.
  • Commercial vehicles are the most frequently involved vehicle category in accidents.
  • Cars account for the highest number of individual vehicle accidents.

Over the four-year period from Q3 2020 to Q3 2024, the FCT recorded the highest number of road accidents, totaling 8,133 incidents
  • The Federal Capital territory (FCT) recorded the highest number of road accidents between Q3 2020 and Q3 2024, with a total of 8,133 accidents, accounting for 12.42% of total accidents.
  • FCT, Ogun, Nasarawa, and Kaduna consistently ranked among the top four states with the highest accident occurrences.
  • Bayelsa, Borno, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, and Imo were among the states with the lowest number of recorded accidents each quarter.

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