Terrorism - Intelpoint

2026 is already Nigeria’s deadliest year, with six senior officer deaths as of April.
Borno accounts for most of the deaths.
2025 already showed renewed pressure before the rise in 2026.
Lieutenant colonels account for the largest share of deaths by rank.
The pattern suggests attacks are increasingly targeting military command structures.

Sudan leads globally with 10.1 million IDPs.
6 out of 14 countries with over 1 million IDPs are in Africa.
Syria has the highest displacement intensity (26.2% of its population).
Nigeria’s 3.6 million IDPs are large in absolute terms but represent only 1.5% of its population.
DR Congo (5.2mn) and Somalia (3.5mn) continue to face chronic, multi-year displacement crises.
Non-African countries like Colombia (7.1 million) and Ukraine (3.8 million) show that displacement is a global issue.

Global terrorism deaths declined significantly by about 27.6%, from 7,714 in 2024 to 5,582 in 2025.
Nigeria recorded a sharp 46.2% increase in terrorism-related deaths, rising from 513 to 750.
Burkina Faso saw a major decline of 44.8%, dropping from 1,532 to 846 deaths.
Niger also improved, with deaths falling by 25.5% to 703.
Democratic Republic of the Congo recorded an increase of 27.9%, showing mixed trends within Africa.
Pakistan saw a slight increase of 5.7%, indicating relatively stable but still elevated risk.

Nigeria’s 2026 defence budget is $3.9 billion, placing it far below the top global spenders.
It is just 0.5% of the US’ $831.5 billion budget, highlighting a massive scale difference.
Compared to China ($303 billion), Nigeria’s budget is only 1.3%.
Nigeria’s allocation equals 1.8% of Russia’s $212.6 billion allocation.
Even a mid-tier top spender like Australia ($57.4 billion) has a budget almost 15x Nigeria’s.
Nigeria’s budget is only 3.6% of India’s $109 billion defence allocation.
European powers such as the UK ($88.5 billion), France ($67.2 billion), and Germany ($127.4 billion) all have defence budgets that dwarf Nigeria’s allocation

The Nigerian Army is allocated ₦1.5 trillion, surpassing the ₦1 trillion mark and making it the highest-funded force in the proposal.
Police formations and commands receive ₦1.3 trillion, exceeding the ₦ 1 trillion threshold in the 2026 budget.
The Nigerian Navy’s proposed allocation stands at ₦443.9 billion, keeping it well below the trillion-naira range reached by the top two.
The Nigerian Air Force is allocated ₦407.2 billion.

Kidnapping for ransom is the largest source of terrorist and bandit funding in Nigeria, accounting for 40%.
Resource extraction contributes 25%, highlighting the importance of illegal mining and natural-resource exploitation in sustaining armed groups.
Extortion makes up 15% of total funding, demonstrating the broad reach of coercive levies imposed on communities and businesses.
Illegal taxation (10%) remains a steady revenue stream.
External support accounts for 7%, indicating some level of international or cross-border backing for these groups.

Firearms were used in about 70%% of all attacks, making them the single most important driver of violent insecurity in Nigeria.
14,782 attacks were recorded between 2018 and 2024, underscoring the scale of sustained armed violence.
Explosives accounted for 15% of incidents, showing continued but secondary use of IEDs and bombings.
Melee weapons made up 12%, reflecting close-range violence but far lower impact than gun attacks.

Egypt and Algeria are Africa’s only countries in the global top 20 military strength ranking.
The United States remains the world’s strongest military, with a near-perfect power index score.
Africa’s global military influence is highly concentrated in just two countries.
No Sub-Saharan African country appears in the global top 20.
Several African countries cluster in the global bottom 10, highlighting weak military capacity.
The gap between Africa’s strongest and weakest militaries is significant.

The U.S Department of Homeland Security specifies that the data reflects the “worst of the worst” criminal aliens arrested by ICE, not general immigration arrests.
Nigeria leads the list with 40 arrests, the highest among all African nationals reported.
Somalia (27) and Liberia (21) follow, forming a concentrated top tier.
Most countries report fewer than 10 arrests, showing a sharp decline beyond the top group.

Nigeria has 371,800 police personnel as of 2025
100,000 officers, 26.9% of the NPF, are dedicated to VIP and politician protection
Only 73.1% of personnel (271,800 officers) remain available for general public policing
Nearly one-third of the police workforce is focused on elite protection rather than community safety
The heavy VIP-protection allocation reduces manpower available for daily security operations

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