After the 2020 crash, US-Nigeria trade value climbed to $10B+ in 2024

Key Takeaways: 

  • The US' trade deficit with Nigeria narrowed significantly, shifting from a $5.14 billion deficit in 2017 to a $1.69 billion surplus in 2024.
  • US goods exports to Nigeria reached $4.2 billion in 2024, representing a 92% increase from the $2.2 billion recorded in 2017.
  • US goods imports from Nigeria totalled $5.9 billion in 2024, a 20% decrease from the $7.3 billion recorded in 2017.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic severely disrupted bilateral trade in 2020, but both imports and exports began recovering steadily from 2021 onwards.
  • By 2024, trade had rebounded substantially, with US imports from Nigeria reaching $5.87 billion and exports to Nigeria reaching $4.17 billion.
  • Despite experiencing persistent trade deficits from 2017 through most of the period, the US achieved trade surpluses with Nigeria in 2020 and 2021.
  • Total goods trade between the US and Nigeria ranged from $4 billion to approximately $10 billion.

Between 2017 and 2024, US–Nigeria trade relations underwent notable changes shaped by global economic shifts, most prominently the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2017, the US' imports from Nigeria stood at a peak of $7.3 billion but plummeted to just $1.55 billion by 2020 due to pandemic-related disruptions.

The US' imports from Nigeria have steadily increased, reaching $5.87 billion by 2024. Simultaneously, its exports to Nigeria have demonstrated exceptional resilience and growth, expanding from $2.17 billion in 2017 to $4.17 billion in 2024.

Overall, total goods trade between the two nations ranged from $4 billion during the pandemic's peak to nearly $10 billion by 2024. The trade balance has shifted dramatically in the United States' favour during this period. The trade balance that began as a substantial $5.14 billion deficit for the US in 2017 narrowed to just $1.7 billion by 2024, with the US even achieving trade surpluses in 2020 and 2021.

Source:

United Nations COMTRADE

Period:

2017-2024
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  • Nigeria recorded a 12.1% decline in exports to the US, falling to $2.8 billion.
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  • Nigeria swung into a $576 million surplus, reversing last year’s deficit.
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US trade deficit with South Africa nearly doubled to $6.3 billion in H1 2025
  • US imports from Africa jumped 24% to $23.4 billion in H1 2025 despite tariffs.
  • Egypt led gains, doubling its surplus with the US to $2.73 billion.
  • Nigeria swung into a $576 million surplus, reversing last year’s deficit.
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46 African countries get more than 60% of their export earnings from raw goods, with South Sudan leading with 99.5%
  • More than 60% of the countries in Africa are commodity-dependent.
  • South Sudan leads the list with 99.5%.
  • Nigeria’s commodity export dependence is 96.3%, dominated by energy (89.7%), followed by agriculture (4.0%) and mining (2.6%).
  • Africa alone accounts for nearly 47% of all commodity dependent countries globally.

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Ghana’s exports
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  • Petroleum oils follow distantly at ¢52.6B (17.8%).

  • Cocoa (beans, paste, butter) remains a vital sector, collectively worth ¢24.7B (8.4%).

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  • All other products still make up a significant 14.4% (¢42.4B), showing potential for export diversification.

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