Inflation tops list of business concerns in Nigeria for 2025, far ahead of other economic challenges

Key Takeaways

  • Nearly half (48.9%) of Nigerian businesses identify inflation as their greatest economic challenge in 2025.
  • The foreign exchange rate (17.1%) is the second most pressing concern, reflecting ongoing naira volatility.
  • Insecurity (15.6%) and government policies (10.0%) remain significant worries for business operations.
  • Inadequate infrastructure (8.4%), while the least mentioned, continues to constrain growth.

In 2025, the business community in Nigeria is primarily worried about inflation, with 48.9% citing it as their top concern. This overwhelming response highlights how rising costs of goods, services, and inputs are eroding profitability and weakening consumer purchasing power.

The foreign exchange rate (17.1%) is the next major worry, reflecting the volatility of the naira and its direct impact on imports, pricing, and investment planning. Businesses also highlight insecurity (15.6%) as a persistent barrier, especially in regions struggling with instability, while government policies (10.0%) raise concerns about unpredictability in the regulatory and fiscal environment.

Finally, though inadequate infrastructure (8.4%) ranks lowest, it remains a structural challenge, with poor roads, unstable electricity supply, and weak logistics networks still affecting business efficiency. Taken together, these insights paint a picture of an economy where macro-level pressures (inflation and forex) are top of mind, while structural and policy issues remain critical but secondary concerns.

Source:

Intelpoint report: MSMEs in Nigeria Business finance, revenue and support, among others

Period:

2025
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Only one in four Nigerian MSMEs access government support, with grants leading the way
  • Just 25.1% of MSMEs report receiving any form of government support, while 74.9% remain untouched by initiatives.
  • Among those who benefitted, 41.1% accessed grants, making it the most common form of support.
  • 22.1% of MSMEs participated in government training programmes, showing recognition of capacity-building needs.
  • Only 16% received loans and 13.8% got tax breaks, underscoring limited financial and fiscal support penetration.
  • A mere 6.9% of businesses report accessing subsidies, reflecting minimal impact of such schemes.

MSMEs in Nigeria's South West generate ₦8.3 million monthly on average, outpacing all other regions by a wide margin
  • The South West (₦8.3m) far surpasses all regions in monthly revenue, reflecting Lagos’ dominance as Nigeria’s commercial hub.
  • The South South (₦831k) and South East (₦605k) trail far behind but still outperform the northern regions.
  • The North East (₦562k) and North West (₦479k) show significantly lower average revenues.
  • The North Central (₦241k) records the weakest average, underlining stark regional disparities.

Most Nigerian MSME entrepreneurs are between 26 and 45 years old
  • Only 12.1% of entrepreneurs are aged 18–25, showing limited entry among very young adults.
  • The largest groups are 26–35 (33.3%) and 36–45 (33.8%), together accounting for two-thirds of entrepreneurs.
  • Mid-life representation: 14.6% are aged 46–55.
  • Just 6.2% are 56 and above, indicating fewer older adults start or run MSMEs.

Nearly half of Nigerian MSMEs operate below ₦100,000 in monthly revenue
  • 48.8% of MSMEs earn less than ₦100,000 monthly.
  • 19.5% report revenues between ₦100,000 and ₦199,900.
  • The share of businesses decreases steadily in the ₦200,000–₦999,900 bands, ranging from 9.3% to 6%.
  • Only 8.8% of MSMEs earn above ₦1 million monthly, with just 0.4% exceeding ₦100 million.

Trade and agriculture led Nigeria’s ₦51.20 trillion economy in Q2 2025, as oil’s share remained modest
  • Trade contributed 18.28%, making it the largest sector in Q2 2025's GDP.
  • Crop production followed with 17.8%, underscoring agriculture’s central role.
  • Oil and gas added just 4.05%, highlighting its shrinking share compared to non-oil sectors.
  • Real estate and telecoms reinforced the growing strength of services in the Nigerian economy.

After years of volatility, Nigeria’s crude oil production has increased in four consecutive quarters, rising to 1.68 mbpd in Q2 2025
  • Production dipped sharply in 2022, with the steepest quarterly decline of –16.08% in Q3, before recovering at year-end.
  • 2023 marked a rebound year, highlighted by strong quarterly growth of 18.85% in Q3, lifting production back above 1.5 mbpd.
  • 2024 showed relative stability, with modest fluctuations; production only briefly fell below 1.5 mbpd before gradually recovering.
  • By Q2 2025, output hit 1.68 mbpd, the highest in the series, supported by consistent growth in three straight quarters.

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