Kenya's private sector credit growth plunged to 0.9% from a peak of 13.5% and has now rebounded to 4.4%

  • Private sector credit growth peaked at 13.5% in Q4 2023.
  • Growth remained stable between 12 and 13% throughout 2022 and 2023.
  • A sharp decline began in 2024, dropping to 11.5% in Q1.
  • Credit growth plunged to 5.4% in Q2 2024, showing a steep contraction.
  • The lowest point was Q4 2024, at just 0.9%.
  • A rebound started in early 2025, with growth rising to 2.4% in Q1.
  • By Q2 2025, private sector credit growth recovered to 4.4%, though still far below its 2023 highs.

Kenya’s private sector credit growth has fluctuated between 2022 and 2025. The growth rate peaked at 13.5% in Q4 2023 but then sharply declined, hitting a low of just 0.9% in Q4 2024. This collapse highlights the strain on credit expansion during that period, before showing signs of recovery with a rebound to 4.4% in Q2 2025.

Source:

Central Bank of Kenya

Period:

Q2 2022 - Q2 2025
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Private sector lending in Kenya is concentrated in manufacturing, trade, and households, accounting for a combined 54.5%
  • Private households hold the largest share of credit at 27.8%.
  • Trade accounts for 14.4% of outstanding private sector loans.
  • Manufacturing makes up 12.3% of the private sector credit share.
  • Combined, households, trade, and manufacturing absorb 54.5% of all private credit.
  • Consumer durables contribute 9.4% of outstanding loans.

Nigeria’s private sector growth slows for the third straight month in 2025, but still outperforms 2024
  • June 2025 PMI: 51.6, down from 52.7 in May — marking a three-month slowdown in growth.
  • Still 2.99% above June 2024 levels, when PMI was 50.1 — confirming year-on-year improvement.
  • The June dip reflects subdued demand and persistent inflation, echoing broader market sentiment.
  • A PMI above 50 signals expansion; Nigeria’s figure signals ongoing growth, though losing speed.

Nigeria’s private sector growth slows for the third straight month in 2025, but still outperforms 2024
  • June 2025 PMI: 51.6, down from 52.7 in May — marking a three-month slowdown in growth.
  • The figure is 2.99% above June 2024 levels, when PMI was 50.1 — confirming year-on-year improvement.
  • The June dip reflects subdued demand and persistent inflation, echoing broader market sentiments.
  • A PMI above 50 signals expansion; Nigeria’s figure signals ongoing growth, though losing speed.

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